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oDDBall analysis of conservative politics with a libertarian economic conservative twist. Small government, big freedom.
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November 07, 2021
On this day, 7th Nov 2014

Three legged PUP
Tasmanian PUP Senator Lambie says what she thinks, but does not think as often as she talks. She is calling for Remembrance Day to be used to protest a pay rise for soldiers. The federal government has negotiated a pay rise which is beneath inflation. The government warns the entire public service will similarly have beneath CPI wage rises. Lambie wants the rises to be larger. However Lambie is standing in the way of cuts to spending which would allow the government to responsibly make such changes. Lambie threatens to walk away from PUP.
AGW faith
Theatre direction and climate science combine to produce a scary fantasy devoid of all science. British theatre director Katie Mitchell collaborated with climate scientist Stephen Emmott, and found herself 'transformed' such that she stopped flying and began recycling clothes. Meanwhile the IPCC does not release new data but increases scares in the new report. Meanwhile the University of Bremen has research papers discussing gender division in climate change. Meanwhile Climate Change candidates in the US mid term elections did terribly. Professors will pay for Green faith as their superannuation buried money in loss making ventures like desalination which has not been used at all this year in Victoria.
Neighbours
Julia and Kevin who claimed in a set piece for the Fairfield Champion in front of school kids in '10 they worked together as friends were as cold as ice at Gough's funeral. Even in death Gough divides.

ABC airs a program (Soul Mates) which asks the question why no one wants to kill Abbott? The ABC has form on such tastelessness, showing a cartoon of a journalist having sex with a dog, or Mr Abbott's mother having sex with a solar panel. On each occasion the ABC has had to retract and apologise for their behaviour.

A new conservative cause has been launched, to the echo of Martin Luther King's "I have a dream that my four little children will one day live in a nation where they will not be judged by the color of their skin, but by the content of their character." Firstly there was Julie Bishop's statement she was a woman, but not a feminist. Then in the mid terms in the US Tim Scott (Republican) became the first black senator (South Carolina) elected in the South since the reconstruction era. Then Mia Love became the first Black Republican woman to be elected to the house of representatives in Utah.

Obama tells Mr Abbott not to pursue Russia or China during the G20.
Huffington Post on Pew Research
"Half Of Brits Say Religion Does More Harm Than Good, And Atheists Can Be Just As Moral"
A striking example of status quo after much atheist positioning .. so that it is now worth considering the example of China. Mainland China is still a despicable government which in the '70s the leading politician, wife of deceased Mao, had a survey done during the cultural revolution. She bragged at the survey results. In all of China, not a single Christian remained and the only record of their presence historically was graves that no one visited. But God lives there too, and moving forward thirty years, Christianity is growing faster in China than anywhere else in the world. The government prefers atheists, but will hire a religious person only if they are Christian .. because Christians are loyal and Christ endorsed secular administration. But what of Mao's wife? Nothing of her exists in China, but a grave nobody visits.

Demographically, it is hard to know what the near future of Christianity will look like. African or Asian? But not so many Europeans. Part of the problem is the call of submission to God, the desire to be humble, is very little prized in Western pop culture, but underpins our cultural assets. In fact, I can do nothing to change anyone else's mind, but doing what is right, and relying on God to assert his will, is very attractive even for damaged Atheists. Atheists fear a god that doesn't exist and is a ridiculous figure. But they don't see the God the father, the almighty. Sometimes that is because his people who claim to walk with him are not humble. But the closer one gets to God, the humbler they are .. why do you suppose that is?
A historical perspective
Because of the proximity to US mid terms now, this time in history is coloured by other similar elections. In 1619, Elizabeth Stuart was crowned Queen of Bohemia. The significance of that act cannot be overstated. Elizabeth was the eldest daughter of James I of England and was the grandmother of George I of England. Bohemia was a Czech land which later became Austria-Hungary. In 1775, the Governor of Virginia started emancipating slaves so they might fight with the British. In 1837, in Illinois, an abolitionist printer was shot dead by a mob while trying to protect his print shop. In 1874, a cartoon showed for the first time an elephant used to represent the GOP (US Republican party). In 1893, Colarado gave women the right to vote. In 1916, Jeannette Rankin became the first woman elected to US congress. In 1919, the first Palmer raid resulted in over ten thousand suspected communists in twenty three different cities being rounded up. In 1933, FH La Guardia was elected 99th mayor of NYC. In 1944, FDR was elected President for a fourth time. FDR was a despicable person who would never have achieved such success but for opportunism and Hitler. In 1957, The Gaither Report suggested the US needed more missiles and fallout shelters. In 1973, a Democrat led Congress over rode President Nixon's veto of War Powers Resolution which even today prevents Obama power to wage war without Congress assent. In 1983, someone, none yet known, set off a bomb in the US Capitol. Too late for Guy Fawkes Day. In 1989, Douglas Wilder became the first African American elected Governor in the US, to the seat in Virginia. Also in 1989, David Dinkins became the first African American to be elected mayor of New York City. In 1990, Mary Robinson became the first woman to be elected President of the Republic of Ireland. In 2000, Hillary Clinton became the first woman elected to the senate while still being the first lady of the President. In 2000, the Bush v Gore election was held, later to be resolved the Supreme Court. It was an echo of JFK vs Nixon in which Nixon had conceded to avoid the Supreme Court having to make that decision, weakening Presidential authority. Nixon would have won had he stuck to his guns, but he was a better man than Gore.

In 335 AD, Athanasius was banished to Trier, on charge that he prevented a grain fleet from sailing to Constantinople. However, Athanasius was cleared of the charge, but had made a powerful enemy among some who had the ear of Rome. He was exiled five times in all, yet survived until 373, dying peacefully at 77. In 1492, a meteorite struck a wheat field in the village of Ensisheim, Alsace, France. In 1665, the oldest surviving Journal, The London Gazette, was first published. In 1786, the oldest musical organisation in the US, the Stoughton Musical Society, was founded. In 1900, during the second Boer war, at the Battle of Leliefontein, three Canadian Dragoons earned a Victoria Cross each. In 1907 Jesus Garcia saved an entire town of Nacozari de Garcia, Sonora, Mexico, from certain death, by driving a burning train with explosive a safe distance away, and so dying. In 1908, Butch Cassidy and the Sundance Kid died in Bolivia, maybe. In 1910, showing they had gotten the hang of flying, the Wright brothers were commissioned by a department store owner Max Moorehouse to air freight from Dayton to Columbus, Ohio. In 1912, the Deutsche Opernhaus (now Deutsche Oper Berlin) opens in the Berlin neighborhood of Charlottenburg, with a production of Beethoven's Fidelio. In 1914, as a reminder Japan was an ally in WW1, he German colony of Kiaochow Bay and its centre at Tsingtao were captured by Japanese forces. In 1917, the Gregorian calendar date of the October Revolution, which gets its name from the Julian calendar date of 25 October. On this date in 1917, the Bolsheviks stormed the Winter Palace. Also on this day in 1917, British forces captured Gaza from the Ottomans. In 1918, Influenza spread to Western Samoa killing 20% of the population before the new year. In 1929, the Museum of Modern Art opened in NYC. In 1941, German planes sank the hospital ship Armenia, killing about five thousand evacuated from Crimea. In 1944, Soviet spy Richard Sorge and 34 of his ring were hanged by Japan. In 1956, UN sprang into inaction demanding the withdrawal of UK, French and Israel from Egypt during the Suez Crisis. In 1987, Singapore's first mass rapid transit line was opened. In 1989, East German PM and his entire cabinet were forced to resign. In 1991, Magic Johnson announced he had HIV. In 1994, WXYC launched the first internet radio.

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00:01:07
November 27, 2022
Jingle Bell Rock

Jingle bell, jingle bell, jingle bell rock
Jingle bells swing and jingle bells ring
Snowin' and blowin' up bushels of fun
Now the jingle hop has begun

Jingle bell, jingle bell, jingle bell rock
Jingle bells chime in jingle bell time
Dancin' and prancin' in Jingle Bell Square
In the frosty air

What a bright time, it's the right time
To rock the night away
Jingle bell time is a swell time
To go glidin' in a one-horse sleigh

Giddy-up jingle horse, pick up your feet
Jingle around the clock
Mix and a-mingle in the jinglin' feet
That's the jingle bell rock

Jingle bell, jingle bell, jingle bell rock
Jingle bell chime in jingle bell time
Dancin' and prancin' in Jingle Bell Square
In the frosty air

What a bright time, it's the right time
To rock the night away
Jingle bell time is a swell time
To go glidin' in a one-horse sleigh

Giddy-up jingle horse, pick up your feet
Jingle around the clock
Mix and a-mingle in the jinglin' feet
That's the jingle bell
That's the jingle bell
That's the jingle...

00:02:04
September 01, 2021
Intro to Locals for the Conservative Voice

David Daniel Ball calls himself the Conservative Voice.

I'm a teacher with three decades experience teaching math to high school kids.I also work with first graders and kids in between first grade and high school. I know the legends of why Hypatia's dad is remembered through his contribution to Math theory. And I know the legend of why followers of Godel had thought he had disproved God's existence.

I'm not a preacher, but I am a Christian who has written over 28 books all of which include some reference to my faith. Twelve blog books on world history and current affairs, detailing world events , births and marriages on each day of the year, organised by month. Twelve books on the background to and history of Bible Quotes. One Bible quote per day for a year. An intro to a science fiction series I'm planning, post apocalyptic cyber punk. An autobiography with short story collections.

I'm known in Australia for my failure as a whistleblower over the negligence death of a school boy. ...

00:01:50
Holiday break is over back to work tonight

Tonight I'll start double posting until I've caught up.

Chinese Space Bio Labs

While Elon Musk is busy landing reusable rockets and building robot swarms on Earth, the CCP has gone full 'Musk but make it bioweapons': they're launching fleets of Starship-inspired rockets crewed by copycat Optimus robots, blasting 'Fau Chi' biolabs straight into Low Earth Orbit.

These gleaming orbital stations, proudly emblazoned with the Chinese characters 福奇 (Fú Qí — sounding suspiciously like 'Fau Chi'), are officially designated as The Science™ Research Facilities. Perfect for safe, ethical gain-of-function experiments on exciting new pathogens like TDS (Trump Derangement Syndrome), 'Last Millennia' nostalgia plagues, and the deadly 'We Are Living in 2026' variant.

The endgame? A billion trusting parents worldwide voluntarily neutering their own children on expert 'Fau Chi' advice from the heavens — because nothing says 'public health' like taking guidance from a floating Chinese biolab with reusable re-entry capabilities.

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Editorial from 2018 for June 9th

Don't give up on hope. Western Civilisation is on the nose of universities in Australia. Sydney University collapsed in 1990, and her upper executive got replaced by ALP managerialists as Keating fought a culture war which the Liberal Party have not effectively engaged. Dame Kramer had been made Chancellor, but the Chancellor's position is not executive at Sydney University. Kramer fought effectively for Western Values, but the University, now, is as partisan left as the ABC is now. Kramer had been a powerful presence in charge of the ABC too. 

In 1990, Sydney University lost her Chancellor and Vice Chancellor. The Chancellor, Hermann David Black, died after a long illness. James Anthony Rowland, a former governor of NSW took the chancellor's position for a few years, before passing it to Kramer in 1991. She held on to 2001. From 1981 to 1990, John Manning Ward was the executive head of Sydney University as Vice Chancellor. He had been writing a trilogy on Australian conservative leaders ...

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Palestinians, in history, are Jewish
Media and world leaders have lied in support of terror

Palestinians, in history, are Jewish

Around this time of year we mark the anniversary of the fall of Betar in 135 AD. Betar was the last major fortress of the Bar Kokhba revolt, the final large-scale Jewish uprising against Rome. The revolt erupted after Emperor Hadrian’s plans to rebuild Jerusalem as the pagan city Aelia Capitolina, complete with a temple to Jupiter on the Temple Mount. The day of Betar’s fall coincided with Tisha B’Av, the same fast day that already commemorated the destruction of the First Temple by the Babylonians and the Second Temple by the Romans sixty-five years earlier. After crushing the revolt, the Romans renamed the province of Judea “Syria Palaestina.” The name was not inventing an ancient nation; it was a deliberate administrative and symbolic act that sought to erase the Jewish character of the land.

Most people today treat “Palestine” as if it were the continuous name of an ancient sovereign people. It was not. The term itself has older roots in Greek sources for the coastal region associated with the Philistines, but the formal Roman redesignation of the Jewish province came after a Jewish rebellion was suppressed. The land remained the historic homeland of the Jews. Jews had lived there for more than a thousand years before the revolt, returned after the Babylonian exile, rebuilt their Temple, and maintained continuous presence even under successive empires. Dispersal followed Roman victory, yet the connection to the land never disappeared. The Jewish diaspora is wide precisely because Jewish history is long—three to four thousand years of recorded continuity, not a recent invention.

The modern claim that “Palestine” is the exclusive homeland of a distinct Arab people called Palestinians is recent. It does not rest on continuous ancient nationhood. It rests on a selective reading of the Balfour Declaration, the subsequent British Mandate, the 1947 UN partition proposal, and especially the aftermath of 1948 and 1967. The Balfour Declaration supported a national home for the Jewish people in Palestine while protecting the civil and religious rights of existing non-Jewish communities. The Mandate territory originally included land east of the Jordan; Transjordan was later administered separately and became the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan. In 1948 Israel declared independence on the basis of the UN partition and surviving Jewish settlement. Neighbouring Arab states, including the newly independent Jordan, invaded. Jordan occupied the West Bank (including East Jerusalem) until 1967; Egypt held Gaza. No independent Palestinian Arab state was established by those occupying powers.

Jordan itself was no stranger to internal political tension over the Palestinian question. In 1951 King Abdullah I was assassinated at the Al-Aqsa Mosque in Jerusalem by a Palestinian gunman (a Jordanian subject after the annexation of the West Bank). The killing reflected deep resentment among some Palestinian nationalists toward the Hashemite monarchy’s policies, including its pragmatic dealings and the formal incorporation of the West Bank into the kingdom. The 1950s saw repeated civil unrest, demonstrations, and attempted coups, particularly on the West Bank, as Palestinian nationalists and pan-Arab radicals challenged the monarchy’s authority and its Western alignments. These tensions never fully disappeared.

After 1967 the presence of armed Palestinian fedayeen groups inside Jordan escalated into open confrontation. In 1970 King Hussein’s forces moved decisively against the PLO and other guerrilla organisations that had established a state-within-a-state and challenged royal control. The fighting, remembered as Black September, drove the bulk of the fedayeen leadership and fighters out of Jordan and into Lebanon, where their presence contributed heavily to that country’s later instability. One of the central figures who emerged from this period, Yasser Arafat, advanced the ambit claim that “his” people were Palestinians entitled to a state in the territory of Israel, including parts of Jerusalem.

For many reasons not rooted in historical continuity, the UN and much of the international system found it convenient to maintain a particular status quo after 1967. Neighbouring Islamic states largely refused permanent absorption of the original 1948 refugees and their descendants. Worse, the UN adopted a unique refugee definition and hereditary status solely for Palestinians under UNRWA—status that passes down the male line and can persist even after citizenship is acquired elsewhere—turning a mid-century displacement into a multigenerational political instrument.

Critics of Israel point to the West Bank and Gaza and insist Israel should not hold them. Israel captured those territories in a defensive war in 1967. It has repeatedly offered withdrawals and territorial compromise in exchange for recognition and an end to violence. What followed decades of concessions, including the complete withdrawal from Gaza in 2005, was not durable peace but sustained terrorism, culminating in the massacre of 7 October 2023, the worst single day of anti-Jewish slaughter since the Holocaust. In the intervening years, international funding and UN-endorsed education systems in the territories have coexisted with curricula, media, and official rhetoric that celebrate the killing of Jews, often packaged as “anti-Zionism” and the demand “from the river to the sea.” Senior figures in the Palestinian leadership have histories of terrorism and crimes against civilians; accountability has been selective at best.

None of this requires denying that Arabs have lived in the land for centuries or that individual Palestinians have genuine grievances and attachments. It does require rejecting the erasure of Jewish history. The Romans renamed Judea after crushing a Jewish revolt. The modern political identity of “Palestine” as an exclusive Arab national claim is a 20th-century development, sharpened after 1967 and sustained by institutions that treat Jewish self-determination as uniquely illegitimate. The land’s deepest continuous historical identity is Jewish. Pretending otherwise does not produce peace; it produces permanent grievance.

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August 02, 2026
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JFK’s Legacy, Reframed
A President Constrained, Then Removed

JFK’s Legacy, Reframed: A President Constrained, Then Removed

Under the working assumption that John F. Kennedy was eliminated by a conspiracy involving Lyndon Johnson and senior military command, with Lee Harvey Oswald as the designated patsy, the standard media narrative of his presidency collapses into something sharper and more revealing. The familiar list of achievements and failures remains, but the causal weight shifts. What looks like personal weakness or half-measures becomes evidence of a man pushing against entrenched institutional power that ultimately decided he had to go.

Kennedy’s strongest moments look, in this light, like deliberate resistance rather than mere competence. The Cuban Missile Crisis was not simply calibrated brinkmanship; it was a president overriding the loudest voices in the military and intelligence apparatus that preferred immediate strikes. The secret Turkey missile trade, kept quiet at the time, bought a temporary partner in Khrushchev. The Limited Test Ban Treaty and the American University speech that preceded it signalled a genuine desire to dial back nuclear confrontation. The Peace Corps and the Moon commitment projected soft power and technological ambition rather than pure kinetic force. These were not the priorities of a military establishment already eyeing deeper involvement in Southeast Asia.

The failures and compromises take on a different colour under the same assumption. Bay of Pigs was a CIA operation Kennedy inherited and only partially controlled; withholding air support may have been the least-worst decision available once the plan’s flaws became clear. Vietnam is more damning in the official record—advisers rising toward 16,000, the green light for the Diem coup—yet the numbers and the timing can be read as a forced compromise rather than enthusiastic escalation. A president who had already been burned by the intelligence community at the Bay of Pigs was not in a position to simply refuse the entire apparatus. Direction from the Oval Office is not the same as control of the machinery. The later claim that Kennedy would have withdrawn after 1964 sits more comfortably if one believes the same machinery preferred a president who would deliver the larger war.

Civil rights fits the same pattern of constrained action. Kennedy moved when the street pressure and the optics became unavoidable, not when the moral case was first made. He allowed Southern Democratic governors room to manoeuvre because the congressional arithmetic demanded it. That is ordinary political calculation; under the conspiracy frame it also becomes another instance of a president who could not fully impose his will on the party and institutional structures around him.

The personal and medical material functions, in this reading, as useful post-assassination narrative management. Chronic illness, heavy medication, and extramarital affairs were real. Once the man was dead they became instruments for diminishing the administration while leaving the martyr’s charisma intact. A drug-addled, Mafia-tangled, Cuba-obsessed president is easier to isolate from the policy choices that threatened larger interests. The same interests that preferred a steady escalation in Vietnam under Johnson had every reason to shift retrospective blame onto the predecessor whose death cleared the path. JFK becomes the flawed operator; LBJ the practical successor who simply finished the job.

This framing requires accepting that the assassination was not the work of a lone misfit. It requires senior military figures, operational capacity for multiple shooters, a controlled narrative after the fact, the replacement of inconvenient physical evidence, and the subsequent elevation of at least one participant in the official inquiry. It is, as the premise itself notes, a conspiracy theory. Yet once the assumption is granted, the legacy coheres differently. Kennedy’s reputation was not merely enhanced by death; it was selectively curated. The Camelot myth preserved the inspirational surface while the deeper institutional conflict—over nuclear restraint, over the scale of commitment in Asia, over who ultimately directed American power—was papered over by focusing on personal failings and incomplete domestic legislation.

The result is a presidency whose direction is more interesting than its completed statutes. Kennedy’s short term left few permanent legislative monuments of his own, yet the direction he tried to set—toward arms control, toward limits on covert overreach, toward a less purely military definition of American leadership—collided with structures that preferred otherwise. If those structures removed him, the unfinished quality of his record is not simply the accident of an assassin’s bullet. It is the visible scar of a contest he did not win.

That contest continues to shape how the record is taught and remembered. The official story keeps the focus on Oswald, on personal scandal, and on the tragedy of lost potential. The alternative assumption keeps the focus on power: who held it, who resisted it, and who decided the resistance had gone far enough.

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August 01, 2026
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the US Civil War became certain
From personal difficulties in challenging times

From personal difficulties in challenging times, the US Civil War became certain.

Franklin Pierce and James Buchanan, successive Democratic presidents in the 1850s, governed amid rising sectional fury over slavery. Both men carried heavy personal burdens into office. Both operated inside partisan media environments that amplified their worst instincts and muted dissent. Neither proved equal to the crisis. The result was not merely policy failure but the progressive collapse of the Union’s political center.

Pierce arrived as “Young Hickory,” the handsome New Hampshire Democrat who had ridden Andrew Jackson’s coattails from private to brigadier general in the Mexican War. His private life was already marked by grief and frailty. His wife Jane, religious and committed to temperance, disliked the political world. Their three sons all died young; the last, Benjamin, was killed in a train wreck weeks before the inauguration. Pierce himself was often unwell and later died of cirrhosis. These private sorrows did not prevent him from making a decisive public error. By signing the Kansas-Nebraska Act in 1854, he repealed the Missouri Compromise’s prohibition on slavery north of 36°30′ and substituted “popular sovereignty.” The predictable consequence was Bleeding Kansas—armed conflict between pro- and anti-slavery settlers—and the rapid emergence of the Republican Party. For a time the partisan press cheered the move as democratic principle and Western expansion. Only when the violence became undeniable did his own party refuse him renomination.

Buchanan, the only lifelong bachelor president, carried a different private wound: the broken engagement and sudden death of his fiancée Anne Coleman in 1819, long rumored to have been suicide. He spent decades as a skilled politician and diplomat, serving in Congress, as minister to Russia and Britain, and as Polk’s Secretary of State during the era of continental expansion. He entered the White House in 1857 intending to quiet the storm. Instead the Supreme Court’s Dred Scott decision—rendered by a Court shaped in large part by Democratic appointments—declared that Congress lacked power to ban slavery in the territories and that Black people had no rights the white man was bound to respect. Buchanan’s subsequent push to admit Kansas under the pro-slavery Lecompton Constitution further split his party. The doctrine of states’ rights, combined with the formal denial of citizenship to people of color, rendered the Union’s constitutional order increasingly untenable for large parts of the North. When Abraham Lincoln won the 1860 election and offered a careful, limited compromise on the extension of slavery, Southern states seceded. Buchanan denied both the right of secession and the federal power to coerce the seceding states. He left office with the country fracturing. He later supported the Union cause during the war, but the damage of the preceding four years was already irreversible.

Then, as now, partisan media functioned as an echo chamber. Democratic papers defended Pierce’s Kansas-Nebraska Act as fidelity to local self-government and later portrayed Buchanan’s acquiescence in Dred Scott as respect for judicial authority and constitutional restraint. Opposition voices were dismissed as agitators or sectional extremists. The presidents, operating inside that closed information loop, found it easier to continue along the path of least resistance than to confront the moral and political reality that slavery’s expansion was no longer compatible with a durable Union.

Would either man have governed differently if the headlines had been less forgiving? Possibly at the margins. Public pressure can force recalculation. Yet both men’s records suggest deeper limits: personal grief and temperament in Pierce’s case, a lifelong preference for legalistic compromise and Southern constitutional arguments in Buchanan’s. The more fundamental failure was institutional and cultural. A political system that could not produce leaders capable of recognizing when compromise had become capitulation, and a media culture that rewarded tribal affirmation over hard truth, left the country without the resources to negotiate its deepest division.

The Civil War was not inevitable in 1850. By the time Lincoln took the oath in 1861, after eight years of Democratic stewardship under Pierce and Buchanan, it had become nearly certain. Personal misfortune does not excuse public failure. Nor does a partisan press absolve presidents of the duty to see beyond their own side’s applause.

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