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oDDBall analysis of conservative politics with a libertarian economic conservative twist. Small government, big freedom.
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4th July Tribute

I created this for independence day

The fact I cannot sing does not mean I will not

"America the Beautiful" is a patriotic song that holds a special place in American culture. The song’s lyrics were written by Katharine Lee Bates, an English professor at Wellesley College, while the music was composed by Samuel A. Ward, an organist and choirmaster. Here is the story behind the creation of this beloved song:
Origins of the Lyrics
Katharine Lee Bates wrote the lyrics in 1893 during a trip to Colorado. She was inspired by the natural beauty she encountered on her journey, particularly the view from the summit of Pikes Peak. Bates described her experience in a letter, saying, “One day some of the other teachers and I decided to go on a trip to the top of Pikes Peak. We hired a prairie wagon. Near the top we had to leave the wagon and go the rest of the way on mules. I was very tired, but when I saw the view, I felt great joy. All the wonder of America seemed displayed there, with the sea-like...

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00:01:07
November 27, 2022
Jingle Bell Rock

Jingle bell, jingle bell, jingle bell rock
Jingle bells swing and jingle bells ring
Snowin' and blowin' up bushels of fun
Now the jingle hop has begun

Jingle bell, jingle bell, jingle bell rock
Jingle bells chime in jingle bell time
Dancin' and prancin' in Jingle Bell Square
In the frosty air

What a bright time, it's the right time
To rock the night away
Jingle bell time is a swell time
To go glidin' in a one-horse sleigh

Giddy-up jingle horse, pick up your feet
Jingle around the clock
Mix and a-mingle in the jinglin' feet
That's the jingle bell rock

Jingle bell, jingle bell, jingle bell rock
Jingle bell chime in jingle bell time
Dancin' and prancin' in Jingle Bell Square
In the frosty air

What a bright time, it's the right time
To rock the night away
Jingle bell time is a swell time
To go glidin' in a one-horse sleigh

Giddy-up jingle horse, pick up your feet
Jingle around the clock
Mix and a-mingle in the jinglin' feet
That's the jingle bell
That's the jingle bell
That's the jingle...

00:02:04
September 01, 2021
Intro to Locals for the Conservative Voice

David Daniel Ball calls himself the Conservative Voice.

I'm a teacher with three decades experience teaching math to high school kids.I also work with first graders and kids in between first grade and high school. I know the legends of why Hypatia's dad is remembered through his contribution to Math theory. And I know the legend of why followers of Godel had thought he had disproved God's existence.

I'm not a preacher, but I am a Christian who has written over 28 books all of which include some reference to my faith. Twelve blog books on world history and current affairs, detailing world events , births and marriages on each day of the year, organised by month. Twelve books on the background to and history of Bible Quotes. One Bible quote per day for a year. An intro to a science fiction series I'm planning, post apocalyptic cyber punk. An autobiography with short story collections.

I'm known in Australia for my failure as a whistleblower over the negligence death of a school boy. ...

00:01:50
September 04, 2026
Should violent criminals be made fat? Grok says 'no'

No. Transferring gut bacteria from an obese person into a violent criminal is not a reliable, ethical, or effective way to make them “fat, sedentary, and less of a physical threat.”

The science does not deliver the outcome you want

Mouse studies in germ-free animals showed that microbiota from obese donors can increase energy harvest and adiposity compared with lean-donor microbiota. That is the origin of the idea. Human evidence is far weaker.

Randomized trials of fecal microbiota transplant (FMT) from lean donors into people with obesity have generally failed to produce meaningful, sustained weight loss. Microbiome composition can change; body weight and metabolic markers often do not, or the effects are small and inconsistent. Diet and the existing gut environment usually dominate. A 2025 Nature paper found diet outperformed microbial transplant for microbiome recovery. Human guts are already colonized, not sterile like lab mice, so engraftment is variable and effects unpredictable.

It is not a ...

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August 28, 2026
Pfizer struggles to answer

Some in Australia are brilliant. Malcolm Roberts Investigates Pfizer over Covid vaccine.

Holiday break is over back to work tonight

Tonight I'll start double posting until I've caught up.

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Terrorists also use guns
October 17th

Terrorists also use guns

“Naza: The Real Story” (2026) is a roughly 49-minute Israeli documentary featuring first-hand accounts from IDF reserve commanders and intelligence officers who served in Gaza. It is filmed at night on Tel Aviv rooftops (interviewees shown mostly from behind, identified by role). The makers (Roi Danino, Ariel Averbuch, and Hagay Gutman) describe it as an independent production funded privately, with no IDF or government involvement in its creation. It is available free online (with original Hebrew audio, dubs in 8 languages, and subtitles in many more).

It positions itself as a direct rebuttal to the other film titled NAZA (by Yuval Abraham and Rachel Szor), which focuses on IDF targeting processes and expected civilian harm (“Naza”/נז״א is the Hebrew military abbreviation for collateral damage / nezek agavi). This version argues that narratives of indiscriminate or poorly constrained IDF action omit key battlefield realities.

Core content and claims

The film centers on the operational challenges of fighting in dense urban areas against Hamas. Officers describe:

  • Hamas tactics: Terrorists systematically discarded uniforms, moved among civilians in ordinary clothes (jeans, T-shirts, etc.), and used civilian homes, schools, kindergartens, mosques, clinics, and hospitals for military purposes. Weapons and equipment were routinely stored in residences (examples include an anti-tank charge under a child’s bed next to Smurf dolls, mortar shells beside a baby’s crib, and tunnel shafts in or next to children’s rooms or kindergarten yards). Uniforms were often left behind in empty homes. One account mentions a fighter wearing a Jewish tzitzit garment in an apparent attempt to pose as a hostage.
  • Rules of engagement and constraints: Strict procedures requiring intelligence, legal review, and higher-level approvals for strikes (especially near sensitive sites). Evacuation warnings, designation of combat zones (e.g., areas with >75% of the population gone), and a practice of holding fire or aborting strikes when civilians were present or identification was uncertain. Officers note the difficulty of distinguishing armed threats from unarmed civilians or “messengers” in real time, and the personal cost to IDF troops of restraint (including casualties from fire coming from civilian structures).
  • Hostages and aid: Hostages held in civilian homes shaped operations. Accounts of Hamas seizing or diverting aid convoys early on, and of UN-marked food sacks being used as fortification materials. The film includes claims of IDF efforts to facilitate medicine and aid while managing security risks.
  • Supporting material: Alongside the interviews, the film shows photographs, bodycam/drone/aircraft footage, terrain analysis, and documents that the makers say were cleared for publication. Officers recount specific incidents (e.g., fire from a kindergarten that wounded soldiers, ceasefire periods exploited for reconnaissance by mixed groups of children and operatives).

The overall framing is that Hamas deliberately maximized the difficulty of distinguishing combatants from civilians and exploited protected sites, while the IDF operated under significant legal and procedural limits that carried real risks to its own forces. The film presents these as the officers’ direct experiences rather than abstract analysis.

Viewers are encouraged (by the makers and the film itself) to examine the on-screen evidence and compare it with other accounts. The documentary is one perspective from participants in the fighting; competing films and external reports offer different emphases and interpretations of the same conflict.

=

Yoshihiro Hattori (often called Yoshi), a 16-year-old Japanese exchange student, was fatally shot on October 17, 1992, in the Baton Rouge, Louisiana area (near Central) after he and a friend went to the wrong house looking for a Halloween party.

Hattori was from Nagoya, Japan, and had arrived in the U.S. that August through an exchange program (American Field Service). He was staying with the Haymaker family and attending school with their son, Webb Haymaker (also 16). The two were invited to a Halloween party. Hattori dressed as Tony Manero (John Travolta’s character) from Saturday Night Fever in a white tuxedo-style jacket; Webb wore a neck brace and bandages as an “accident victim” costume.

They were looking for the address 10131 but stopped at 10311, a nearby house that had Halloween decorations and cars in the driveway. They rang the front doorbell with no answer. Bonnie Peairs then opened a side/garage door, saw the teenagers (Hattori approaching), became frightened, slammed the door, and told her husband to get his gun.

Rodney Peairs (then about 30, a supermarket butcher) came out holding a .44 Magnum revolver. Hattori turned toward him and said something like “We’re here for the party!” Peairs yelled “Freeze!” Hattori, whose English was limited, was not wearing his contact lenses that night, and may have thought it was part of a Halloween prank or simply not understood the command, continued moving forward while smiling or laughing. Webb saw the gun and tried to warn him. Peairs fired once from roughly 5 feet (1.5 m) away, striking Hattori in the chest. Peairs then retreated inside. Hattori died in the ambulance shortly afterward.

Legal outcomes

Peairs was charged with manslaughter. In a May 1993 criminal trial, a jury acquitted him after about three hours of deliberation, accepting his claim of self-defense under Louisiana law. He testified that he felt threatened when Hattori kept approaching and did not stop. Some spectators applauded the verdict. Outside court, Peairs expressed sorrow that it had happened.

In a later civil wrongful-death suit brought by Hattori’s parents (Masaichi and Mieko Hattori), a judge found Peairs liable in 1994 and ordered him (and his insurer) to pay roughly $650,000–$653,000 in damages. The judge stated there was “no justification whatsoever” for the shooting.

Broader impact

The case drew intense international attention, especially in Japan, where private gun ownership is rare and the shooting was widely seen as a shocking example of American gun culture and “castle doctrine”-style self-defense rules. Hattori’s parents collected more than a million signatures calling for stricter U.S. gun controls and presented them to American officials. The episode contributed to broader U.S. debates that helped build momentum for the Brady Handgun Violence Prevention Act. It also highlighted language and cultural barriers, the risks of mistaken-identity shootings, and differences in attitudes toward firearms and property defense.

The shooting is frequently cited as a classic “wrong house / Halloween” tragedy and has been referenced in later discussions of similar mistaken-address cases.

= October 17th 

These events cluster around mid-to-late October (many traditionally linked to the 17th) across nearly seven centuries. Here is a concise overview of each:

1091 – London tornado (17 October)
This is the earliest recorded tornado in England. Contemporary chroniclers (including William of Malmesbury and Florence of Worcester) described a violent whirlwind that struck the City of London. The church of St Mary-le-Bow was severely damaged—four large rafters were driven deep into the ground—and more than 600 mostly wooden houses plus other churches were destroyed or demolished. Only two deaths were reported in a city of roughly 18,000 people. Modern assessments rate it around T8 on the TORRO scale (roughly F4 equivalent), making it one of the strongest known British tornadoes, though the rating rests on accounts written decades later.

1346 – Battle of Neville’s Cross (17 October)
During the Second War of Scottish Independence and the Hundred Years’ War, King David II of Scotland invaded northern England (as required by the Auld Alliance while Edward III was campaigning in France). An English force under Ralph Neville, Lord Neville, defeated a larger Scottish army near Durham. David II was captured; he spent the next eleven years as a prisoner in the Tower of London (and elsewhere). The battle checked Scottish power in the north for years.

The little-known 14th century battle that has shaped English, Scottish and French relations

1448 – Second Battle of Kosovo (17–20 October)
John Hunyadi led a mainly Hungarian-led Crusader force against Sultan Murad II’s Ottoman army on the Kosovo field. After several days of fighting (including the use of wagon forts and firearms), the Ottomans prevailed. Wallachian troops defected late in the battle. The defeat ended the last major Christian attempt to reverse Ottoman gains in the Balkans and left Constantinople more isolated ahead of its fall in 1453.

Battle of Kosovo (1448) - Wikipedia

1456 – University of Greifswald founded (17 October)
Founded in the Hanseatic town of Greifswald (in what is now Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Germany) with papal and imperial approval, largely through the efforts of mayor Heinrich Rubenow (its first rector) and Duke Wartislaw IX of Pomerania. It is one of the oldest universities in northern Europe and, during the period when the region belonged to Swedish Pomerania (1648–1815), was for a time the oldest university under Swedish rule. It began with the traditional faculties of theology, philosophy, medicine, and law.

Sights - University of Greifswald

1558 – Poczta Polska (Polish postal service) established (18 October)
King Sigismund II Augustus granted an Italian, Prospero Provana, the right to operate a permanent postal link from Kraków to Venice via Vienna. This is treated as the founding of the Polish postal service (later reorganized under the Thurn und Taxis system). 18 October remains the official Polish Post holiday.

1604 – Kepler’s Supernova (observations beginning 17 October)
A bright new star (a Type Ia supernova, SN 1604) appeared in the constellation Ophiuchus in early October. Johannes Kepler began systematic naked-eye observations on 17 October and tracked it for over a year. It reached magnitude about −2.5 (brighter than Jupiter) and was briefly visible in daylight. His 1606 account (De Stella Nova) made it “Kepler’s Supernova,” the last supernova in the Milky Way clearly observed with the naked eye. The remnant is still studied today.

Chandra :: Photo Album :: Kepler's Supernova Remnant :: September 11, 2012

1610 – Coronation of Louis XIII (17 October)
The nine-year-old Louis XIII (son of the assassinated Henry IV) was crowned and consecrated at Reims Cathedral. His mother, Marie de’ Medici, served as regent. The ceremony formalized his reign; actual power remained with the regency and later with ministers such as Cardinal Richelieu.

1660 – Execution of regicides (including several on 17 October)
After the Restoration of Charles II, a special court tried surviving men who had signed the death warrant of Charles I or otherwise participated in his trial and execution. Ten were sentenced to be hanged, drawn, and quartered. On 17 October, four—Thomas Scot, Gregory Clement, Adrian Scrope, and John Jones—were executed at Charing Cross. Others were put to death on nearby days in mid-October. Samuel Pepys and John Evelyn recorded the events.

1662 – Sale of Dunkirk (17/27 October)
Charles II, short of money and wary of the cost and diplomatic risks of holding the continental port (captured from Spain in 1658), sold Dunkirk and Fort-Mardyck to Louis XIV of France for five million livres (roughly £40,000 in some contemporary reckoning). The transaction was unpopular in England. The date is given as 17 October Old Style / 27 October New Style.

1771 – Premiere of Ascanio in Alba (17 October)
The 15-year-old Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart’s festa teatrale (pastoral opera/serenade) to a libretto by Giuseppe Parini was first performed at the Teatro Regio Ducale in Milan. It was commissioned by Empress Maria Theresa for the wedding of her son Archduke Ferdinand to Maria Beatrice d’Este. The work celebrates the mythical founding of Alba Longa.

1777 – Surrender at Saratoga (convention signed 16 October; formal surrender 17 October)
After the Battles of Saratoga, British General John Burgoyne opened negotiations with American General Horatio Gates. The Articles of Convention were signed on 16 October; Burgoyne’s army marched out and laid down its arms on the 17th. The surrender of roughly 6,000 men was a major turning point that encouraged French recognition of and alliance with the United States.

Surrender of General Burgoyne - Wikipedia

1781 – Siege of Yorktown / Cornwallis’s surrender (negotiations from ~17 October; formal surrender 19 October)
A combined Franco-American force under Washington and Rochambeau, supported by the French fleet under de Grasse, trapped British General Charles Cornwallis’s army on the Yorktown peninsula. A British drummer and officer appeared under a white flag on 17 October to open negotiations. After terms were settled, Cornwallis’s army of about 8,000 men formally surrendered on 19 October (Cornwallis himself did not attend the ceremony). The victory effectively ended major fighting in the American Revolutionary War.

Surrender of Lord Cornwallis - Wikipedia

These episodes range from natural disaster and medieval warfare to the founding of lasting institutions, scientific observation, monarchical ceremony, political retribution, and the decisive campaigns of the American Revolution.

 

 

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October 15, 2026
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Jadwiga crowned King of Poland
October 16th

Jadwiga crowned King of Poland

Jadwiga (Hedwig/Hedvig; born between October 1373 and February 1374 in Buda, died 17 July 1399 in Kraków) was the youngest of the three daughters of Louis I the Great (King of Hungary 1342–1382 and King of Poland 1370–1382) and Elizabeth of Bosnia. Louis had no sons. Through his mother, Elizabeth of Poland (daughter of Władysław I Łokietek), he had a Piast claim to Poland and succeeded his childless maternal uncle Casimir III the Great in 1370 under earlier agreements.

In the Privilege of Koszyce (Košice) of 1374, Louis secured noble recognition of his daughters’ succession rights in exchange for significant privileges (reduced taxes, military obligations limited largely to defending the kingdom). He initially designated his eldest daughter Catherine for Poland and Jadwiga for Hungary. Catherine died in 1378. Mary (engaged to Sigismund of Luxembourg) was then intended for Poland, with Jadwiga for Hungary. Jadwiga was provisionally betrothed in 1375/1378 (ceremony at Hainburg) to William of Habsburg (Duke of Austria); she spent time in Vienna. The match was never fully consummated.

Louis died on the night of 10/11 September 1382. Within days the Hungarian elites crowned the elder daughter Mary as king of Hungary under her mother Elizabeth’s influence, ending the personal union. Polish nobles (especially the powerful lords of Lesser Poland) refused to accept Mary and Sigismund or continued absentee rule from Hungary. They insisted on a resident daughter of Louis. After roughly two years of negotiations, civil unrest (including in Greater Poland), and pressure (including threats of electing someone else), Elizabeth of Bosnia sent the approximately 10-year-old Jadwiga to Poland. She arrived in Kraków around 12–13 October 1384.

Rival candidates had included Siemowit IV of Masovia (a Piast) and Sigismund. Archbishop Bodzanta of Gniezno had at times leaned toward Siemowit.

The Coronation (16 October 1384)

On Sunday, 16 October 1384, in Wawel Cathedral, Kraków, Archbishop Bodzanta of Gniezno crowned Jadwiga. Contemporary and near-contemporary sources (including Jan Długosz) and the traditional scholarly consensus describe her as crowned rex (“king”) rather than regina (“queen”)—in regem Poloniae coronata. This emphasized that she was a sovereign monarch in her own right, not a consort. Polish custom and law treated the ruler as “king”; there was no established form for a queen regnant, and the masculine title helped preserve the crown’s full authority and prevent any future husband from automatically taking the title without noble consent.

A large gathering of clergy, nobles, and burghers welcomed her. No formal regent was appointed; the lords of Lesser Poland (in contact with Elizabeth) effectively guided government while she was a minor. Her main early advisers included Archbishop Bodzanta, Bishop Jan Radlica of Kraków, Bishop Dobrogost of Poznań, and figures such as Duke Władysław of Opole. Her formal style included “Hedvigis Dei gratia rex/regina Poloniae...” along with titles over specific Polish lands.

Significant Figures and Immediate Aftermath

  • Elizabeth of Bosnia: Mother and key negotiator; later involved in Hungarian politics and was murdered in 1387 amid civil strife.
  • Mary of Hungary and Sigismund of Luxembourg: Elder sister and her fiancé/husband; the Polish rejection of them ended the Angevin dual monarchy.
  • William of Habsburg: Childhood betrothed. In 1385 he came to Kraków hoping to consummate and validate the match. Polish nobles expelled him. Jadwiga publicly renounced the childhood betrothal (sources vary on her personal feelings and any attempts to join him). The Church accepted it as unconsummated.
  • Jogaila (Jogaila/Jagiello), Grand Duke of Lithuania: The preferred political match. On 14 August 1385 at Krewo (Kreva), he issued the Act of Krewo promising: baptism of himself, his family, and subjects into Roman Catholicism; marriage to Jadwiga; compensation (traditionally cited around 200,000 florins) to William; recovery of certain Polish lands; and association of Lithuania and its Ruthenian territories with the Polish Crown.
  • He was baptized in Kraków on 15 February 1386 as Władysław, married Jadwiga on 18 February 1386 in Wawel Cathedral, and crowned King of Poland jure uxoris by Bodzanta on 4 March 1386. They ruled jointly while she lived; she remained a leading figure.
  • Other notables: Lesser Poland magnates who drove the policy; later Vytautas the Great (Jogaila’s cousin) in Lithuania; Teutonic Knights as a major external threat that the union helped counter.

Results and Longer-Term Consequences

The marriage and Act of Krewo created a personal union between Poland and Lithuania that lasted, in evolving forms, until the Union of Lublin (1569) and the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth. It Christianized the last major pagan realm in Europe (the Lithuanian core), shifted the regional balance of power (especially against the Teutonic Order), and integrated large Orthodox Ruthenian territories. Poland gained a powerful partner and ended the short Angevin personal union with Hungary.

Jadwiga and Jogaila had one child, a daughter Elizabeth Bonifacia (born 22 June 1399). The infant died after about three weeks (c. 13 July); Jadwiga died of postpartum complications on 17 July 1399, aged about 25. They were buried together in Wawel Cathedral. With no surviving heir, she was Poland’s last hereditary ruler; subsequent kings (starting with her husband and the Jagiellonian dynasty) were elective.

While she lived she was an active co-ruler and patron of religion, charity, and learning. She supported the restoration and expansion of the University of Kraków (later the Jagiellonian University), founded or aided hospitals, churches, and a Lithuanian college in Prague, and promoted the Christianization and cultural ties of the united lands. Her early death left succession and governance more fully in Jogaila’s hands (he later married Anna of Cilli as she advised).

She was venerated soon after death, beatified in 1979, and canonized by Pope John Paul II on 8 June 1997 (feast day 17 July or 28 February in some calendars). She remains a major figure in Polish history as the child sovereign whose coronation and marriage launched the Polish-Lithuanian union and the Jagiellonian era.

Primary narrative sources include Jan Długosz’s 15th-century Annales; documentary evidence includes the Privilege of Koszyce, the Act of Krewo, and cathedral calendars. Some details (exact feelings about William, precise legal force of “attachment” of Lithuania, minor date variants) remain debated among historians.

= October 16th

456 – Ricimer defeats Emperor Avitus at Piacenza

Flavius Ricimer (a Germanic general of Suebic/Visigothic descent serving as magister militum) and the comes domesticorum Majorian rebelled against the short-reigning Western Roman Emperor Eparchius Avitus (r. 455–456). After killing Avitus’s magister militum Remistus near Ravenna in September, they faced Avitus’s remaining forces near Placentia (modern Piacenza) in northern Italy. Contemporary and near-contemporary sources place the battle on 17 or 18 October (some later accounts say the 16th). Avitus was defeated, his army shattered, and his commander Messianus killed. Ricimer spared Avitus’s life but forced him to abdicate and become Bishop of Piacenza. Avitus died soon afterward (accounts vary between starvation, execution, or natural causes while fleeing). Ricimer emerged as the dominant power in the West, effectively the “maker of emperors” for the next 16 years, installing a series of short-lived puppet rulers while the Western Empire continued to fragment.

690 – Wu Zetian ascends the throne

Wu Zhao (Wu Zetian), already the de facto ruler of Tang China for decades (first as empress consort to Gaozong, then as empress dowager controlling her sons), formally took the throne. On 16 October 690 she proclaimed the Zhou dynasty (named after the ancient Zhou, from which she claimed descent), changed the imperial surname, and ruled as huangdi (emperor) under titles such as “Sacred and Divine Emperor.” She is the only woman in Chinese imperial history to rule in her own name and right. Her formal enthronement or related ceremonies are sometimes dated a few days later (around 19 October), but 16 October is the conventional date for the proclamation of the dynasty and her accession. She ruled until a palace coup forced her abdication in 705.

955 – Battle on the Raxa (Recknitz)

King Otto I of Germany (later Holy Roman Emperor) defeated a coalition of Slavic tribes, primarily the Obotrites under Nako and his brother Stoigniew (Stoinef/Stoignew), near the Raxa river (most often identified with the Recknitz in present-day Mecklenburg-Vorpommern). The battle followed Otto’s decisive victory over the Magyars at the Lechfeld in August. Otto’s forces (drawn from across the German kingdom, with Bohemian allies) used a feint and secretly built bridges to cross the river, routing the Slavs. Stoigniew was killed (his head displayed the next day), and roughly 700 captives were executed. The victory consolidated Otto’s control of the Billung March and was a high point of his reign.

1384 – Jadwiga crowned King of Poland

Jadwiga (Hedwig) of Anjou, roughly 10–11 years old and the youngest daughter of Louis I of Hungary and Poland, was crowned rex (“king”) rather than regina (“queen”) in Wawel Cathedral, Kraków. The masculine title underscored that she was a sovereign in her own right, not a consort; Polish law had no formal provision for a queen regnant. She reigned until her death in 1399. Her later marriage to the pagan Grand Duke Jogaila of Lithuania (who converted and became Władysław II Jagiełło) created the Polish-Lithuanian union that shaped East-Central European history for centuries. She was later canonized.

1590 – Carlo Gesualdo murders his wife and her lover

Carlo Gesualdo, Prince of Venosa and Count of Conza (and later a renowned composer of chromatic madrigals), caught his wife Donna Maria d’Avalos in bed with her lover Fabrizio Carafa, Duke of Andria, at the Palazzo San Severo in Naples. Accompanied by armed retainers, he murdered both (accounts describe multiple stab wounds, gunshots, and extreme violence; Maria’s throat was cut). The killing was treated as an “honour” crime under contemporary Neapolitan aristocratic norms; Gesualdo faced little legal consequence and retreated to his estates. The episode became inseparable from his later reputation as a tormented, innovative composer.

1780 – Royalton and Tunbridge raids

British Lieutenant Richard Houghton, with about 300 Mohawk (and some Abenaki) warriors from Kahnawake, raided settlements along Vermont’s White River Valley. On 16 October they attacked and burned Royalton, Sharon, and Tunbridge, killing a few settlers, taking roughly 26 prisoners (later marched to Canada), and destroying homes and livestock. Local Vermont militia pursued them but broke off after threats to the captives. It was the last major British-led Indigenous raid in New England during the Revolutionary War.

1793 – Execution of Marie Antoinette and the Battle of Wattignies

  • Marie Antoinette: The former queen of France (widow of Louis XVI, executed in January) was tried by the Revolutionary Tribunal on charges including treason and conspiracy with foreign powers. Found guilty in the early hours of 16 October, she was guillotined that afternoon at the Place de la Révolution (now Place de la Concorde) in Paris, at the height of the Reign of Terror. She was about 37–38 years old.
  • Battle of Wattignies: Fought 15–16 October near Maubeuge during the War of the First Coalition. French forces under Jean-Baptiste Jourdan (with Lazare Carnot of the Committee of Public Safety present) defeated a Coalition (mainly Austrian) covering force under Prince Josias of Saxe-Coburg and Count Clerfayt. The victory raised the siege of Maubeuge and temporarily checked the Allied advance into northern France. The same day as Marie Antoinette’s execution.

These events illustrate the date’s range: late Roman power struggles, the sole female Chinese emperor, medieval German-Slavic warfare, a female sovereign in Poland, a notorious Renaissance murder, the closing phase of the American Revolution in New England, and the radical peak of the French Revolution. Sources sometimes differ by a day or two on the precise dating of the 456 battle and the exact ceremonial timing of Wu Zetian’s proclamation, but 16 October is the conventional anniversary for all of them.

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October 12, 2026
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Young people lead the way.
rules define their success.

Young people lead the way. 

But rules define their success.

Youth can be thrust onto the world stage by accident of timing, boldness, or simple opportunity. What follows is rarely a pure contest of talent or right. Circumstances, established rules, and the capacity of those already in power to respond quickly usually decide the outcome.

In 1996 a 21-year-old business student named John Leonard watched a Pepsi commercial that listed a Harrier jump jet as redeemable for 7 million Pepsi Points. He did the arithmetic, raised roughly $700,000, and tendered the required points plus cash. Pepsi refused, calling the jet a joke. Leonard sued. The litigation ran for years and cost Pepsi substantial sums. In the end the courts held that a humorous advertisement is not a binding offer; no reasonable person would treat it as one. Leonard never received the aircraft. Pepsi revised the commercial, raised the points total dramatically, and added an explicit disclaimer. Advertising practice tightened. The case became a standard teaching example that catalogues and broadcast jokes do not create enforceable contracts. Leonard’s initiative forced a rapid clarification of the rules. The rules, once clarified, defined the result.

Nine centuries earlier, a teenage Edgar Ætheling found himself the last male of the House of Wessex after Harold Godwinson fell at Hastings. Leading figures in London, including the Archbishop of York and the earls Edwin and Morcar, put him forward as king. He possessed a clear dynastic claim. He was never crowned. The earls failed to raise effective forces, and within weeks Edgar and the other English leaders submitted to William at Berkhamsted. The rules of succession had not been abolished in theory; they had been overridden in practice by military victory and the absence of unified English resistance. William moved quickly, entered London, and was crowned on Christmas Day. Edgar lived on for decades, involved in later campaigns and Scottish affairs, but the brief recognition of autumn 1066 produced no reign. His claim tested the new order; the new order held.

Both men enjoyed relatively long lives. Leonard is still alive. Edgar survived into the 1120s. In each case the young man identified an opening that existing power had left unclosed—an advertisement without a disclaimer, a vacant throne without a ready military response. In each case those in power reacted with speed once the opening was exploited. The courts restated the ordinary meaning of an offer. William secured the crown and the submission of the remaining English leadership. Initiative created pressure; the governing rules, once applied or enforced, determined the outcome.

Youth supplies energy, calculation, and the willingness to test a boundary that older hands may have left unexamined. Rules—legal, military, political—supply the structure within which that energy either produces lasting change or is absorbed. Leonard’s suit did not rewrite the law of contract, but it made the existing doctrine impossible to ignore in advertising. Edgar’s proclamation did not restore the House of Wessex, but it forced William to complete the conquest without delay. In both episodes the young men led the way into an open question. The rules, and the speed with which those who controlled them answered, defined the success that followed.

=

Edgar Ætheling’s brief recognition as king in late 1066 was a short-lived, unconsummated claim by the last male of the House of Wessex after Harold Godwinson’s death at Hastings. He was proclaimed (or put forward) in London but never crowned or anointed, and he submitted to William the Conqueror within weeks.

Background

Edgar Ætheling (also Æþeling; sometimes called Edgar II by those who count his recognition) was born around 1051–1052, probably in Hungary. He was the son of Edward the Exile (son of Edmund Ironside) and Agatha. After the death of his father, Edgar and his sisters Margaret and Christina were brought to England by Edward the Confessor around 1057. As the last male descendant of the House of Wessex in the direct male line, he held the title ætheling (“prince eligible for the throne”).

When Edward the Confessor died in January 1066, the Witan chose Harold Godwinson as king rather than the teenage Edgar, who lacked military experience and political support. After Harold was killed at the Battle of Hastings on 14 October 1066, the remaining English leadership in London faced Norman advance and the collapse of organized resistance.

Contemporary accounts (notably the Anglo-Saxon Chronicle, especially the Worcester/D manuscript) record that Edgar was chosen or put forward as king by the Archbishop of York (Ealdred), the leading citizens of London, and with the promised support of Earls Edwin of Mercia and Morcar of Northumbria. This was an attempt to preserve an English dynasty rather than submit immediately to William of Normandy. There is no evidence he was formally elected by a full Witan or crowned.

Significant Characters

  • Edgar Ætheling: The teenage claimant (roughly 14–15 years old). He had a strong hereditary claim but no personal military following or experience. He never exercised real power.
  • Harold Godwinson: Previous king, killed at Hastings on 14 October 1066. His death created the vacancy.
  • William the Conqueror (William of Normandy): Invader and eventual king. He moved methodically toward London after Hastings.
  • Archbishop Ealdred of York: One of the key figures who supported Edgar’s recognition in London. (He later crowned William at Westminster.)
  • Earls Edwin of Mercia and Morcar of Northumbria: Powerful northern earls who initially backed Edgar but failed to deliver meaningful military support. They later submitted to William and retained their earldoms for a time.
  • Other English leaders: Citizens of London and various nobles who briefly rallied around the Wessex heir before the practical reality of Norman strength became clear.

Results and Aftermath

Support for Edgar proved hollow. Edwin and Morcar did not raise effective armies, and no coherent English resistance formed around him. In early December 1066, Edgar, along with Archbishop Ealdred, Edwin, Morcar, and other leaders, submitted to William at Berkhamsted (Berkhamstead). William then entered London and was crowned on Christmas Day 1066.

Edgar was never crowned or anointed. His “reign” (if counted at all) lasted only from roughly mid-October to early December 1066—about six to eight weeks of nominal recognition without effective rule. Most historians treat him as a claimant rather than a king.

After submission:

  • He lived under Norman rule for periods and spent time in Scotland with his sister Margaret (who married King Malcolm III Canmore).
  • He was involved in various revolts and campaigns against the Normans in the late 1060s and 1070s, then reconciled at times with William I and William II.
  • He later took part in Norman ventures (including a force sent toward Apulia) and intervened in Scottish succession politics.
  • He lived into the 1120s (death in or after 1125) and is sometimes described as the last male of the old English royal line.

The episode marked the effective end of the House of Wessex as a ruling dynasty in England. William’s coronation and subsequent consolidation of power completed the Norman Conquest. Edgar’s claim is noted in sources as a brief alternative that collapsed for lack of military force and unified leadership.

=

John Leonard was not legally correct. In Leonard v. Pepsico, Inc. (88 F. Supp. 2d 116 (S.D.N.Y. 1999), aff’d 210 F.3d 88 (2d Cir. 2000)), the courts ruled that Pepsi’s humorous commercial did not constitute a binding offer. Leonard lost. The case is a famous teaching example in U.S. contract law on when advertisements create offers versus mere puffery or invitations to negotiate. It reinforced existing principles rather than rewriting advertising law, though it did push advertisers toward clearer disclaimers in extreme or joke promotions.

Background

In the mid-1990s, during the cola wars, Pepsi launched “Pepsi Stuff,” a loyalty program. Customers collected “Pepsi Points” from product packaging and redeemed them for branded merchandise (T-shirts, jackets, sunglasses, etc.). Extra points could be bought for 10 cents each, provided the customer submitted at least 15 points from actual products.

A 1995–96 television commercial (part of the campaign’s advertising, including Super Bowl exposure) showed a teenager collecting various Pepsi items and then flying to school in a McDonnell Douglas AV-8B Harrier II jump jet. On-screen text listed the jet at 7,000,000 Pepsi Points. The tone was deliberately over-the-top and humorous: the jet lands near a school bicycle rack, blasts a principal’s clothes off with its exhaust, and the teen remarks that it “sure beats the bus.”

John D.R. Leonard, a 21-year-old business student at Shoreline Community College near Seattle, saw the ad. He calculated that buying the remaining points at 10 cents each would cost about $700,000 for a jet then valued in the tens of millions of dollars (court and contemporary figures often cited roughly $23–37 million). He and associates treated it as an arbitrage opportunity. In late March 1996 he submitted an official order form requesting “1 Harrier Jet,” 15 original Pepsi Points, and a check for $700,008.50 (including shipping). Pepsi returned the check, described the jet as “fanciful” and “humorous,” and sent some free coupons.

Leonard (and investors) sued for breach of contract, fraud, and related claims, seeking the jet or specific performance. Pepsi filed a preemptive declaratory-judgment action in New York federal court seeking a ruling that it had no obligation and attempting to recover fees.

Significant Characters

  • John Leonard: The plaintiff. A young, adventurous business student and mountaineer. He later became a National Park Service ranger (including mountaineering work at Denali) and has lived in the Washington, D.C., and Alaska areas with his family. He has said he genuinely believed the claim could succeed at the time and has reflected on it as opportunistic in hindsight. He appears in the 2022 Netflix documentary Pepsi, Where’s My Jet?.
  • Todd Hoffman: Leonard’s older friend, mentor, and primary financial backer. They met on a mountaineering trip. Hoffman (a businessman with various ventures) helped raise or supply the ~$700,000 and was involved in the strategy and publicity. They remained friends afterward.
  • Judge Kimba M. Wood: U.S. District Judge for the Southern District of New York who wrote the detailed 1999 opinion granting Pepsi summary judgment.
  • Michael Avenatti: Then a law student, he briefly assisted Leonard’s side (especially with media/PR strategy). He later became nationally known representing Stormy Daniels and was subsequently convicted on multiple federal charges (extortion, fraud, etc.).
  • PepsiCo and its team: The defendant corporation. Spokespeople emphasized that “tens of millions” of viewers understood the ad as a joke. The ad agency and Pepsi revised the commercial after the claim (raising the jet to 700 million points and adding “Just Kidding”).

Court Rulings and Outcomes

Judge Wood granted Pepsi summary judgment on August 5, 1999. Core holdings (later affirmed by the Second Circuit in a short per curiam opinion):

  • Advertisements are generally invitations to negotiate or solicit offers, not binding offers themselves (citing the Restatement (Second) of Contracts). The commercial lacked the definite, clear, and explicit terms needed to create an offer that left nothing open for negotiation.
  • Under the objective reasonable-person standard, no one would take the jet depiction seriously. The scene was an exaggerated adolescent fantasy: an improbable young pilot, a military attack jet landing in a school zone, the absurdity of the numbers, and the overall humorous tone. It was classic puffery.
  • The governing catalog (the actual redemption document) did not list the jet.
  • Any alleged high-value contract failed the Statute of Frauds for lack of a sufficient signed writing from Pepsi.
  • Pepsi never cashed the check, undercutting fraud claims.

Leonard recovered nothing. Pepsi had offered a settlement (reported in some accounts around $750,000) which was declined. The commercial was revised with the higher points total and an explicit “Just Kidding” disclaimer. The case became a standard example in American law-school contract courses on offer, acceptance, the reasonable-person test, and the limits of advertising.

Practical effects: Advertisers grew more cautious about extreme or joke prizes without clear disclaimers. The case is still widely discussed in marketing and legal contexts as a cautionary tale. It did not overhaul U.S. advertising law (existing doctrines on puffery and ads-as-invitations already covered the ground), but it made the principles vivid and memorable.

Later cultural notes include the 2022 Netflix documentary featuring Leonard and Hoffman, and a 2026 Frontier Airlines Super Bowl ad in which Leonard “redeems” the 7 million points for free Frontier miles for life.

In short, Pepsi successfully defended the claim that the jet was a joke, not a contractual offer. Leonard’s attempt was creative and well-funded, but the courts applied standard contract principles and found no enforceable deal. The litigation was costly and drawn-out for Pepsi, but the company prevailed on the law.

= October 15th 

1066 – Edgar the Ætheling proclaimed King of England

After Harold Godwinson’s death at the Battle of Hastings on 14 October 1066, leading English figures in London (including the Archbishop of York and Earls Edwin and Morcar) put forward the teenage Edgar Ætheling as king. Edgar was the last male of the House of Wessex, a grandson of Edmund Ironside, and had a strong dynastic claim as ætheling (“prince eligible for the throne”). He was never crowned or anointed. Support proved hollow: the earls failed to raise effective forces, and in early December Edgar and other English leaders submitted to William the Conqueror at Berkhamsted. Edgar later lived in Scotland, took part in various campaigns, and died in or after 1125. He is sometimes styled Edgar II by those who treat his short recognition as a reign (roughly mid-October to early December 1066).

1211 – Battle of the Rhyndacus

On 15 October 1211, Latin Emperor Henry of Flanders defeated Nicaean Emperor Theodore I Laskaris near the Rhyndacus River in northwestern Anatolia. Henry had only a few hundred Frankish knights (sources often cite around 260). Laskaris had a larger force but had recently suffered losses against the Seljuks; he tried to ambush the Latins, but Henry’s assault broke the Nicaean lines in a day-long fight. The victory let Henry advance deep into Nicaean territory (as far as Nymphaion). It contributed to the later Treaty of Nymphaeum (1214), which fixed a frontier and recognised Nicaea as a sovereign power.

1529 – End of the Siege of Vienna

Suleiman the Magnificent’s Ottoman army besieged Vienna from late September 1529. The defenders, heavily outnumbered, held the walls with arquebuses and pikes and repulsed repeated assaults. A major final Ottoman attack on or about 14 October failed. Facing early winter, supply problems, and disease, Suleiman ordered the withdrawal on 15 October. The retreat was costly; snow and mud made movement difficult and Austrian horsemen harried stragglers. The failure checked nearly a century of Ottoman expansion into Central Europe and is widely seen as a strategic turning point, even though the Ottomans retained control of much of Hungary.

1582 – Implementation of the Gregorian calendar

Pope Gregory XIII’s reform (bull Inter gravissimas) took effect in Catholic Europe. In Italy, Spain, Portugal, and Poland, Thursday 4 October 1582 was followed immediately by Friday 15 October 1582—ten days were dropped to bring the calendar back into alignment with the seasons and the intended date of Easter. The reform also adjusted the leap-year rule. Protestant and Orthodox countries delayed adoption for decades or longer (Britain and its colonies switched in 1752). The skip produced temporary calendar confusion across borders.

1764 – Edward Gibbon’s inspiration in Rome

On 15 October 1764, Edward Gibbon sat among the ruins of the Capitol in Rome while barefooted friars sang vespers in the Temple of Jupiter (the site later occupied by the church of Santa Maria in Aracoeli). The contrast between the pagan imperial past and the Christian present struck him powerfully; he later wrote that the idea of writing the history of the decline and fall of the city first came to him then. This became The History of the Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire (published 1776–1789), one of the great works of Enlightenment historiography.

1783 – First human ascent in a hot-air balloon

On 15 October 1783, at the Réveillon workshop in the Faubourg Saint-Antoine, Paris, the Montgolfier brothers conducted the first manned tethered flights. Étienne Montgolfier rose first, followed the same day by Jean-François Pilâtre de Rozier (to the length of the tether, roughly 25 metres). These tests followed earlier unmanned and animal flights and preceded the first free manned flight (Pilâtre de Rozier and the Marquis d’Arlandes) on 21 November 1783. The Montgolfiers’ hot-air balloons opened the age of human flight.

1793 – Trial of Marie Antoinette

Marie Antoinette’s trial before the Revolutionary Tribunal in Paris began on 14 October 1793 and lasted roughly two days. The charges included high treason, conspiracy with foreign powers, and depletion of the treasury. The proceedings were rapid and the outcome effectively predetermined by the political climate of the early Terror. She was convicted and sentenced to death; she was guillotined on 16 October 1793 in the Place de la Révolution (now Place de la Concorde).

These episodes range from dynastic succession and medieval warfare to the limits of Ottoman power, calendar reform, the birth of modern historiography, the dawn of aviation, and the violence of the French Revolution.

 

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