Everybody was cold war fighting. Obama, Biden, Europe. Ukraine is their plaything.
Press call out Russia. But it seems to be the West influencing Ukrainian elections.
Ukraine’s politics from 2000 to 2025 repeatedly spilled into other countries: energy cutoffs, a passenger-jet shootdown, loan-guarantee leverage, sanctions, and then a full-scale war.
Kuchma (2000–2004)
Leonid Kuchma’s second term was marked by the September 2000 disappearance and murder of journalist Georgiy Gongadze and the Cassette Scandal tapes. “Ukraine Without Kuchma” protests in 2000–01 failed to remove him but built the opposition that later led the Orange Revolution. Abroad, Ukraine was still living under the 1994 Budapest Memorandum, in which it had given up Soviet nuclear weapons for security assurances from Russia, the United States, and Britain.
Orange Revolution and Yushchenko (2004–2010)
The November 2004 runoff was awarded to Viktor Yanukovych amid fraud claims. Mass protests forced the Supreme Court to void it; Viktor Yushchenko won the 26 December rerun with about 52 percent. Moscow had backed Yanukovych and treated the result as a Western-sponsored colour revolution.
Yushchenko’s term was unstable at home and disruptive abroad. Gas disputes with Russia cut supplies through Ukraine in January 2006 and again in January 2009, leaving parts of the EU short of gas in midwinter. Those crises drove later European efforts to bypass Ukraine, including Nord Stream.
Yanukovych (2010–2014)
Yanukovych beat Yulia Tymoshenko in February 2010 (about 49 to 45 percent). He extended Russia’s Black Sea Fleet lease in Crimea and jailed Tymoshenko in 2011. In November 2013 he suspended an EU Association Agreement. The Euromaidan protests followed. After about 100 protesters were killed on 18–20 February 2014, parliament voted on 22 February to remove him; he fled to Russia. Moscow calls this a coup; Kyiv and most Western governments call it a removal after lethal repression.
Crimea, Donbas, and MH17 (2014–2015)
Russian forces seized Crimea within days. A disputed March referendum was followed by annexation, unrecognised by Ukraine and most states. The EU, US, and others imposed sanctions. Armed takeovers in Donetsk and Luhansk, backed by Russian personnel and weapons, became open war from April 2014. Petro Poroshenko won a May election with about 55 percent.
On 17 July 2014 Malaysia Airlines Flight MH17, en route from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur, was shot down over separatist-held Donbas. All 298 people on board were killed, most of them Dutch, with Malaysian, Australian, and other nationals. The Dutch-led Joint Investigation Team found it was hit by a Buk missile supplied by Russia’s 53rd Anti-Aircraft Missile Brigade and fired from separatist-controlled territory. In November 2022 a Dutch court convicted three men linked to the Donetsk separatist command — Igor Girkin, Sergei Dubinskiy, and Leonid Kharchenko — of murder and sentenced them to life; a fourth was acquitted. Russia denies involvement and has called the process political.
France and Germany brokered the Minsk agreements (September 2014 and February 2015) with Russia and Ukraine. They froze the line but were never fully implemented.
The prosecutor firing and the loan guarantee (2015–2016)
In December 2015 Vice President Joe Biden told President Poroshenko and Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk that the United States would withhold a $1 billion loan guarantee unless Prosecutor General Viktor Shokin was removed. Biden later described it himself: he said he was leaving in six hours and that if the prosecutor was not fired, Ukraine would not get the money. Parliament dismissed Shokin on 29 March 2016.
The official US, EU, and IMF position was that Shokin was blocking corruption cases, including inside his own office, and that his removal was a shared donor condition. The IMF separately warned in early 2016 that a large support package depended on a real anti-corruption effort. The controversy is that Biden’s son Hunter sat on the board of Burisma, a gas company owned by Mykola Zlochevsky, from 2014, and Shokin’s office had touched cases involving Zlochevsky. Critics treat the threat as a conflict of interest; Biden and Western officials say there was no active case against Hunter and that allies wanted Shokin gone for failure to prosecute. Poroshenko later told Biden he had no corruption charges against Shokin but had pressed him to resign anyway.
Zelenskyy, the Trump call, and the road to invasion (2019–2022)
Volodymyr Zelenskyy beat Poroshenko in April 2019 with about 73 percent. On 25 July 2019 President Donald Trump asked him to look into Biden and into a theory about 2016 election interference. A whistleblower complaint led to Trump’s first impeachment; the Senate acquitted him. Military aid that had been paused was released.
Through 2021 Russia massed troops and demanded legal limits on NATO. On 24 February 2022 it launched a full-scale invasion.
War and the international system (2022–2025)
Martial law has barred presidential, parliamentary, and local elections since that day. Votes due in 2023 and 2024 were not held; parliament has repeatedly affirmed they wait until martial law ends. Russia calls Zelenskyy illegitimate after May 2024; Ukrainian law extends his powers until martial law is lifted.
Incidents with international fallout included the Bucha killings, documented after Russian forces left in April 2022; the July 2022 Black Sea grain deal, brokered by Turkey and the UN and later abandoned by Russia; the September 2022 sabotage of the Nord Stream pipelines; and the March 2023 ICC arrest warrant for Vladimir Putin over the deportation of Ukrainian children. The US, EU, UK, and others imposed sweeping sanctions and sent tens of billions in weapons and budget aid. In July 2025 protests in Kyiv forced the government to reverse a law that would have weakened the anti-corruption bodies NABU and SAPO, after Western donors objected. By the end of 2025 martial law was still being extended in 90-day blocks, and the war remained the fact that organised Ukraine’s relations with everyone else.
= For October 6th
October 6 is a day of broken armies, broken calendars, and kings pulled back to the city they could no longer rule.
105 BC — Arausio. Near modern Orange, on the Rhône, two Roman armies met the Cimbri and Teutones and were destroyed. Consul Gnaeus Mallius Maximus outranked proconsul Quintus Servilius Caepio, but Mallius was a new man and Caepio a noble; they camped apart and would not act as one command. Caepio attacked alone. His force was wiped out, his camp sacked, and Mallius’s army was then cut down in turn. Ancient figures put the dead at about 80,000 soldiers and another 40,000 servants and camp followers — a loss later writers set beside Cannae, and in some accounts above it. Mallius’s two sons were among the dead. A young Sertorius swam the river and lived. Rome did not fall that autumn: the Cimbri turned toward Spain instead of Italy. The political result was Gaius Marius, repeated consulships, and the army reforms that followed a Republic that had run out of trained men.
69 BC — Tigranocerta. Thirty-six years later the same date went the other way. In the Third Mithridatic War, Mithridates of Pontus had taken refuge with his son-in-law, Tigranes the Great of Armenia. Lucius Licinius Lucullus crossed into Armenia with a small field army — Plutarch gives him about 16,000 infantry and 1,000 cavalry — and besieged Tigranocerta, Tigranes’ new capital in what is now southeastern Turkey. Tigranes came down with a huge composite host; ancient totals of 150,000 to 300,000 are not credible, but he badly outnumbered the Romans. Lucullus feigned a withdrawal, crossed a ford, and struck the Armenian right. The host broke. The city surrendered. It was too late in the season to chase Tigranes into the highlands, and Lucullus never turned the victory into a lasting conquest of Armenia.
AD 23 — Chang’an. Wang Mang, founder of the Xin dynasty, had seized the Han throne in AD 9 and tried to remake landholding, currency, and offices on a Confucian model. Flood, famine, and the Red Eyebrows and Lulin rebellions undid him. After the Xin defeat at Kunyang in the summer of 23, irregular forces entered Chang’an around 4–5 October. Wang, still in imperial dress and holding the seals, was taken to the Terrace Bathed by Water. On 6 October the last stand failed. A merchant, Du Wu, killed him. He was decapitated, and the short Xin dynasty ended. The Han restoration that followed was itself a civil war before the Eastern Han settled at Luoyang.
404 — Constantinople. Aelia Eudoxia, augusta and wife of the weak eastern emperor Arcadius, died of the complications of a seventh pregnancy. Chroniclers say the child died in the womb; bleeding followed, then infection. She had already borne the future Theodosius II and the formidable Pulcheria. Earlier that year she had driven John Chrysostom into exile after years of open war between patriarch and court. Her death did not restore him.
618 — Yanshi. In the wreck of the Sui, Wang Shichong held Luoyang in the name of the puppet Yang Tong. Li Mi, the strongest rebel in the region, had blockaded him. On 5–6 October Wang gambled on a sortie. He surprised Li’s camp north of Yanshi, sent cavalry in behind it, and — by one account — paraded a bound lookalike of Li Mi so the besiegers would think their leader was taken. Li escaped with a remnant and submitted to the Tang; most of his officers and territory went over to Wang. Wang soon deposed Yang Tong and proclaimed his own Zheng dynasty. It did not last. Li Mi later rebelled against the Tang and was caught and killed.
1539 — Anhaica. Hernando de Soto’s expedition forced its way into the Apalachee capital, Anhaica, on the site of modern Tallahassee, and wintered there until March 1540, living on Apalachee stores and buildings. Members of the expedition likely heard the first Christmas mass in what became the United States. De Soto never founded a colony. He died of fever in 1542; his body was sunk in the Mississippi.
1582 — a day that did not happen. In Italy, Poland, Portugal, and Spain, 4 October was followed by 15 October. The Gregorian reform dropped ten days to pull the calendar back onto the solar year. October 6, with the days around it, simply did not occur in those kingdoms.
1600 — Florence. Jacopo Peri’s Euridice was performed at the Palazzo Pitti for the proxy wedding of Maria de’ Medici to Henry IV of France. Peri’s earlier Dafne (1597) is lost; Euridice is the earliest opera that survives, a marker of the new recitative style that later ages bundled into the Baroque.
1683 — Germantown. Thirteen families from Krefeld, Mennonites and Quakers, under Francis Daniel Pastorius, founded Germantown outside Philadelphia — the first lasting German settlement in British North America. German-American Day is still kept on this date.
1723 — Philadelphia. Benjamin Franklin, seventeen, walked into the city after running away from his brother James’s Boston print shop. He arrived with little money and, in his own telling, a loaf under each arm and one in his mouth. The arrival is the start of the Philadelphia career.
1762 — Manila. A British force under Brigadier-General William Draper and Rear-Admiral Samuel Cornish closed a short siege. Manila fell on 6 October. Spain’s government in the islands did not; the Real Audiencia withdrew and kept resisting in the provinces. Britain held the city until the 1763 Treaty of Paris returned it. The occupation was a sideshow of the Seven Years’ War with a long memory in the Philippines.
1777 — the Hudson. Sir Henry Clinton came up from New York and stormed Forts Clinton and Montgomery, the American works guarding the Hudson Highlands, under George and James Clinton. The river chain was broken and Kingston was burned. It was too late to matter. Burgoyne was already trapped above Albany and surrendered at Saratoga eleven days later. The forts were a tactical British success that did not save the campaign.
1789 — Paris. On 5 October market women, and then the National Guard under Lafayette, marched to Versailles over bread and the king’s refusal to accept the August decrees and the Declaration of the Rights of Man. On 6 October the palace was invaded, guards were killed, and Louis XVI, Marie Antoinette, and the dauphin were brought back to Paris. Versailles ceased to be the seat of the monarchy. The king was now in the capital, under the eye of the crowd that had fetched him.
