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oDDBall analysis of conservative politics with a libertarian economic conservative twist. Small government, big freedom.
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November 10, 2021
On this day, 10th Nov 2013

The Abbott government has been stunningly effective very quickly. And the media who viciously attacked him have not got good explanations for it. But one can detect heaps of stretch marks on trumped up issues. One such issue involves a convicted terrorist and anti semite who regrets his confession. Another issue is on that of boat people. No one wants people to drown after subjecting themselves to piracy. Boats have stopped for three weeks recently. That is because of Abbott's effective policy reinstating a Pacific Solution Rudd had stopped.

One can understand why so called moderates in the Islamic community have failed to speak out over their communities atrocities committed around the world on everyone, including other Islamic peoples. Speaking out can have one killed by stoning, hanging, crucifixion, disembowelling and result in the slaughter of their families and loved ones. It is gratifying to hear of a doctor asking for those who know of their loved ones involved in local shootings to speak out, because it is better to be in prison than dead. Quite so.
It is heartbreaking to see little weight given a victim impact statement. Killing someone is a serious crime even if life for the killer was hard. It doesn't excuse AGW believers either, even though they have silenced their critics after stealing $trillions from the world economy and thrown the poorest deeper into poverty. Many will have died from deprivation as a result of their actions, and none saved for their belief. A very poor return from their religion.

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00:01:07
November 27, 2022
Jingle Bell Rock

Jingle bell, jingle bell, jingle bell rock
Jingle bells swing and jingle bells ring
Snowin' and blowin' up bushels of fun
Now the jingle hop has begun

Jingle bell, jingle bell, jingle bell rock
Jingle bells chime in jingle bell time
Dancin' and prancin' in Jingle Bell Square
In the frosty air

What a bright time, it's the right time
To rock the night away
Jingle bell time is a swell time
To go glidin' in a one-horse sleigh

Giddy-up jingle horse, pick up your feet
Jingle around the clock
Mix and a-mingle in the jinglin' feet
That's the jingle bell rock

Jingle bell, jingle bell, jingle bell rock
Jingle bell chime in jingle bell time
Dancin' and prancin' in Jingle Bell Square
In the frosty air

What a bright time, it's the right time
To rock the night away
Jingle bell time is a swell time
To go glidin' in a one-horse sleigh

Giddy-up jingle horse, pick up your feet
Jingle around the clock
Mix and a-mingle in the jinglin' feet
That's the jingle bell
That's the jingle bell
That's the jingle...

00:02:04
September 01, 2021
Intro to Locals for the Conservative Voice

David Daniel Ball calls himself the Conservative Voice.

I'm a teacher with three decades experience teaching math to high school kids.I also work with first graders and kids in between first grade and high school. I know the legends of why Hypatia's dad is remembered through his contribution to Math theory. And I know the legend of why followers of Godel had thought he had disproved God's existence.

I'm not a preacher, but I am a Christian who has written over 28 books all of which include some reference to my faith. Twelve blog books on world history and current affairs, detailing world events , births and marriages on each day of the year, organised by month. Twelve books on the background to and history of Bible Quotes. One Bible quote per day for a year. An intro to a science fiction series I'm planning, post apocalyptic cyber punk. An autobiography with short story collections.

I'm known in Australia for my failure as a whistleblower over the negligence death of a school boy. ...

00:01:50
September 04, 2026
Should violent criminals be made fat? Grok says 'no'

No. Transferring gut bacteria from an obese person into a violent criminal is not a reliable, ethical, or effective way to make them “fat, sedentary, and less of a physical threat.”

The science does not deliver the outcome you want

Mouse studies in germ-free animals showed that microbiota from obese donors can increase energy harvest and adiposity compared with lean-donor microbiota. That is the origin of the idea. Human evidence is far weaker.

Randomized trials of fecal microbiota transplant (FMT) from lean donors into people with obesity have generally failed to produce meaningful, sustained weight loss. Microbiome composition can change; body weight and metabolic markers often do not, or the effects are small and inconsistent. Diet and the existing gut environment usually dominate. A 2025 Nature paper found diet outperformed microbial transplant for microbiome recovery. Human guts are already colonized, not sterile like lab mice, so engraftment is variable and effects unpredictable.

It is not a ...

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August 28, 2026
Pfizer struggles to answer

Some in Australia are brilliant. Malcolm Roberts Investigates Pfizer over Covid vaccine.

Holiday break is over back to work tonight

Tonight I'll start double posting until I've caught up.

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Beginnings tend to define the shape of things to come.
Darius, son of Hystaspes

Beginnings tend to define the shape of things to come.

That is why the first of these late-September dates still matters more than its calendar slot. On the tenth of Bagayādiš — 29 September 522 BC by the usual conversion — Darius, son of Hystaspes, killed a king. Everything after that in Achaemenid history depends on who that king was. We still do not know. The uncertainty is not a modern flourish. It is the original condition of the throne.

Darius’s own version is carved high on the rock at Behistun, in Old Persian, Elamite and Babylonian, where travellers on the road from Babylon to Ecbatana could see the relief even if they could not read the letters. Cambyses, he says, secretly murdered his brother Bardiya before leaving for Egypt. The murder was hidden. While the king was away, “the Lie” spread in Persia, Media and the other lands. A Magian named Gaumāta rose on 11 March 522 in a mountain country called Arakadriš, in Paishiyāuvādā, and told the people: “I am Bardiya, son of Cyrus, brother of Cambyses.” The empire went over to him. On 1 July he seized the kingship. Then Cambyses “died his own death” — five words that have been argued over since the nineteenth century. No one dared move against the Magian. He killed those who had known the real prince, so that the fraud would hold. Temples were wrecked; pastures, herds, households and domains were taken from the people. On 29 September, Darius says, he prayed to Ahuramazda, went with a few men to the fortress of Sikayauvatiš in the Median district of Nisaya, and slew Gaumāta and his chief followers. “I dispossessed him of the kingdom. By the grace of Ahuramazda I became king.” Then he restored what had been stolen and put the dynasty back on its foundation.

That is a complete political theology in a few paragraphs. The enemy is not merely a rival. He is drauga, the Lie. The new king is the agent of arta, Truth and right order. The killing is not a coup. It is a cosmic correction. The relief makes the claim visible: Darius stands over a prostrate figure labelled Gaumāta, the other rebels roped in a file before him. Captions name them. The rock does not invite discussion. It invites assent.

Herodotus, writing in the next century, tells a story that rhymes with Behistun and then adds the details a court chronicle would never carve. In his version the false Smerdis is a Magian, set up by a Magian brother, Patizeithes. The new king never leaves the citadel and never summons the great Persians. Otanes is the first to smell the fraud. His daughter Phaedyme is in the harem — inherited, as the royal women were, from Cambyses. She cannot even ask Atossa, Cyrus’s daughter, who the man is, because the king has separated the women. Otanes sends a third message: when he sleeps, feel for his ears. Cyrus, for some old offence, had cut the ears off this Magian. Phaedyme does it, at the risk of her life, and finds none. Seven nobles form the plot. Darius, arriving late, is the seventh. They storm the palace. Darius helps kill the pretender. Five days later the seven debate monarchy, oligarchy and a kind of equality; monarchy wins; they agree that the one whose horse neighs first at dawn shall be king; Darius’s groom arranges it.

Ctesias calls the impersonator Sphendadates. Justin uses Cometes. The names shift. The structure does not: a hidden death, a look-alike, a priestly or Median colour to the fraud, seven conspirators, Darius on top. The Greeks even remember a popular Smerdis, the one who remitted taxes and military service for three years, so that “all Asia except the Persians” missed him when he was gone. Darius remembers the opposite: a wrecker of temples and a thief of land. Both memories can be propaganda. Both can contain a sliver of a real policy. We cannot tell which.

The case against Darius is not a conspiracy theory invented on the internet. It is the majority instinct of a long line of modern specialists — Olmstead, Dandamaev, Briant and others — and it rests on awkward facts inside Darius’s own success. He was not Cyrus’s son. He was a collateral Achaemenid; his father Hystaspes was still alive and serving when the son took the crown. The man who sat on the throne in the summer of 522 was recognised in Babylonian business tablets as Barziya/Bardiya. Those tablets move from Cambyses to Bardiya without a civil-war gap. The great wave of revolts — Elam, Babylon, Media, Persia itself, Parthia, Margiana, Sagartia and the rest — explodes after Darius kills the sitting king, not during the quiet months of Bardiya’s recognised reign. A second Persian, Vahyazdāta, later rose in the homeland still claiming to be Bardiya, son of Cyrus, which is a strange thing to do if everyone already knew Bardiya had been unmasked as a Magian months before. Darius married Parmys, Bardiya’s daughter, a classic legitimising move. He never produced the corpse of the “real” Bardiya. He never staged a public unmasking that would have settled the identity beyond the rock. And the killing itself is placed at a Median fortress, not in a crowded palace where hundreds would have known the king’s face.

On that reading the deception is Darius’s, not Gaumāta’s. The sitting king was the son of Cyrus. A coalition of Persian nobles, with Darius as its sharpest member, murdered him because his policy — tax relief, interference with noble estates, a shift of weight toward Media, a threat to the men who had done well out of Cyrus’s conquests — could not be borne. The Magian story then does the work every usurper needs: it turns a dead legitimate prince into a fraud, and the assassins into restorers of the house. The Lie is relocated. The man who tells the official story becomes the champion of Truth.

The case for Darius is not foolish either. No surviving ancient author, Greek or otherwise, says in so many words that Darius killed the real Bardiya. The list of the Seven is almost the same in Behistun and in Herodotus. A secret fratricide by Cambyses is ugly, but Cambyses’s reputation in Egypt and in later memory could carry it. Imposture at the scale of an empire is rare; it is not impossible in a world without portraits in every house, where most subjects never saw the king, and where a prince could be kept off-stage for years. Magi were a Median priestly grouping in Greek memory; a Median restoration after Cyrus’s Persian conquest is a motive that does not require Darius to have invented the whole cast. Darius’s later insistence that lying voids divine favour is either sincere theology or the boldest kind of cover. Men have used both.

What cannot be disputed is the sequel, and the sequel is the editorial point. Whoever died at Sikayauvatiš, the empire did not accept the new reign as a restoration. Within weeks Elam and Babylon rose. Then Media, then Persia, then the east. Nine rebel “kings,” Darius says; nineteen battles; one year. Several of the rebels used the same weapon he had just used or just denounced: they put on a dead royal name. Nidintu-Bēl became Nebuchadnezzar. Vahyazdāta became Bardiya again. The Lie, once introduced as the explanation of a throne, proved contagious. Darius crushed them, mutilated the captives, and put their bodies into the same monument that justified the first killing. The administrative empire that follows — satrapies, roads, tribute, the king’s eye, the king’s inscribed Truth — is the shape of a beginning that had to be argued from a rock because it could not be taken for granted in the palaces.

That is why the deception still sits in the story. If Gaumāta was a fraud, the beginning is a warning about how easily a hidden murder and a borrowed face can take a world. If Bardiya was real, the beginning is a warning about how completely the winner can rename the dead. Either way the first act is the same: a small group of armed men, a fortress or a bedchamber, a body, and then a public sentence that turns the body into a principle. Empires are not only built with spears. They are built with the first authorised account of how the last man died.

We do not know which account is true. The tablets prove a king called Bardiya reigned. They do not prove whose blood he had. The Greeks prove that a story of ears and Magians travelled west. They do not prove the ears. The rock proves what Darius needed the world, and the gods, to believe. It does not prove he was believed in his own house on the night of the killing. Beginnings define the shape of things to come. This one defined an empire that would last two centuries, and a question that has already lasted twenty-five. The question is not an academic remainder. It is the price of a throne taken in the dark and explained in stone.

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September 26, 2026
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Christianity did not stop the sword
Christianity changed the world

Christianity did not stop the sword. That is the first honest sentence. The second is that it changed what a man was expected to do with the sword, and what a people were expected to remember after it fell.

Victor Hugo saw both things at once. In Les Misérables the church is not a halo. It is a police magistrate in a cocked hat, a convent’s cold regularity, a society that brands a man for bread. Javert is not a pagan. He is a Christian civilization’s legal conscience without mercy: the law as god, the sinner as residue. The Thénardiers are baptized Europe at its greediest. Hugo had earned the right to sneer at cassocks.

And then there is the Bishop of Digne. Two silver candlesticks. A lie told to the gendarmes so that a thief might become a man. That scene is not sentiment. It is a claim about what the Gospel does when it is actually believed: it interrupts the old arithmetic of injury. Valjean’s later life is the long payment of that interruption. Hugo, who could not leave the institutional church alone, still could not write a France in which that interruption had never happened.

Now lay that double vision across one calendar day.

28 September, stretched over sixteen centuries.

In 48 BC there is no Gospel on the beach at Pelusium. There is clientela, calculation, and a knife. Ptolemy’s court murders a guest because Caesar is the safer bet. Caesar weeps when the head arrives. The tears are real; they do not restore the murdered man, and they do not found a church. Honour without repentance is still honour. It is also still a head in a basket.

By 235 the same empire has a new kind of political act. Pontian and Hippolytus are enemies. One is bishop of Rome; the other has been antipope for the better part of a generation. Maximinus sends both to the Sardinian mines. Pontian resigns so the church in Rome will not be headless. Tradition says the rivals reconcile where the state meant them to die. That is not “Christians became nice.” It is a different theory of office: the shepherd may lay the staff down so the flock is not left to wolves. Thrax can kill the men. He cannot appoint their meaning.

Then the faith sits on the throne, and the old habits come back wearing a cross. Mursa in 351 is a Christian civil war so lavish with corpses that later writers feared the frontiers would fail. Constantius waits out the slaughter in a martyr’s church. Piety in the nave, cataphracts in the field. Procopius in 365 bribes two legions in Constantinople and parades a Constantinian widow as if blood and ceremony were still the whole constitution. Baptism had not abolished usurpation. It had only given usurpers better relics.

Bohemia makes the paradox sharp. In 935 Wenceslaus is cut down on the way to Mass. His brother finishes him with a lance. Motives are the usual stew: land, pagan irritation at a German-leaning Christianity, the always-available fraternal knife. Boleslaus then promotes the cult. That is easy to mock as cynicism. It is also an admission. The murderer needs the murdered man’s holiness in order to rule. Sixty years later, on the same feast, Boleslaus II’s men kill the Slavníks at Libice, some of them said to be before the altar. The day of the saint becomes cover for a purge. Faith does not prevent the massacre. It does decide what the massacre will be called afterward, and it sends Adalbert out of that wreckage toward a martyrdom in Prussia. The Přemyslids win the duchy. They do not get to uninvent the standard they raised over the corpse.

The Norman century is ambition with a blessing. William lands at Pevensey two days after Stamford Bridge; the wind is a providence if you are Norman, a disaster if you are Harold. Henry I takes his brother at Tinchebray and locks him up for life. These men hear Mass. They also treat kinship as a siege engine. Christianity did not invent the Conquest. It did give William a papal banner and Henry a language of rightful order in which a brother’s lifelong prison could be described as peace. That is not nothing, and it is not innocence.

Valencia in 1238 is the part of the story modern talk likes to flatten. James I starves a Muslim city with a crusade bull in his pocket. That is war. It is also not a sack in the old style. Terms are struck. Those who will leave may take property; those who stay live under Christian rule. Medieval men called Islam a deviation from Christian truth; historians need not baptize that taxonomy to notice the conduct. A conquered city that is allowed to walk out is a different moral artefact from Pelusium. Restraint here is not pacifism. It is a limit placed on victory because the victor thinks he will answer for the manner of it.

Mühldorf is knights breaking one another for a crown the Pope has not settled. Preveza is Christendom’s fleet, larger and less united than Barbarossa’s, losing the eastern sea because Genoa will not spend its galleys for Venice. The Holy League is faith as geopolitics, and geopolitics as usual: the cross on the flag does not fuse the treasuries. Cabrillo, a few years later, names a harbour for St Michael and meets the Kumeyaay with gifts and arrows. Empire arrives saying a saint’s name. Mission will follow. So will dispossession. The naming is not a small thing. Men plant what they invoke.

What, then, changed?

Not the frequency of killing. The Bible is not a truce. Israel has judges and kings; the apostles die; Constantine’s sons paint the Drava with Roman blood. Anyone who says the faith abolished war is selling a tract.

What emerges is a second court.

Before that court, a pope may resign so the church can live. Rivals may become brothers in a mine. A murdered duke becomes the measure of Czech kingship rather than a forgotten victim of a successful coup. A conqueror weeps at a head he did not order, and later a different conqueror writes surrender terms instead of a trophy list. A policeman in Hugo’s Paris can be damned for having no mercy, which is only a scandal in a culture that has heard of mercy. Valjean can spend a life paying a debt that the law had already collected, which is only intelligible if a bishop’s candlesticks mean more than silver.

Character, in this sense, is not the end of conflict. It is the appearance of a type: the man who knows he may win and still be wrong. Javert cannot bear that knowledge and goes into the river. Myriel lives inside it and sleeps well. Between them is the long argument of Christian Europe.

The 28ths do not prove that Christians were better than Romans. They prove that after the Gospel the same crimes had to pass a new witness. Sometimes the witness was ignored, and the altar was only a convenient wall to back a man against. Sometimes the witness was used, and a fratricide wrapped himself in a saint. Sometimes the witness held, and a city was given a road out, or two enemies shared a sentence and a grave.

That is slower than a miracle and harder than a slogan. It is also how a faith travels through time: not by emptying history of blood, but by teaching a people to be ashamed of some of the blood they would otherwise have called necessary. The fighting continues. The character is the thing that, once seen, is difficult to unsee.

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September 24, 2026
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When an illegitimate son seized England whole
William the Conqueror

When an illegitimate son seized England whole

William the Conqueror took a kingdom in a day and spent twenty-one years holding it. He also left a new ruling culture, a wrecked north, a survey of every hide of land, and sons who turned on each other before the incense at his funeral had cleared. That is the whole story of 1066 and after: not only the victory, but the bill.

He was born about 1028 at Falaise, the son of Duke Robert of Normandy and Herleva, a tanner’s daughter. Illegitimacy was not a romantic footnote. It was a political fact. When Robert died in 1035, a child of seven inherited a duchy that ate weak dukes. William survived plots and rebellions, then made Normandy one of the hardest-run states in western Europe. Distance of blood from Edward the Confessor was enough, in his mind, to make the English crown his. Harold Godwinson had the Witan and the deathbed. Harald Hardrada had an old Norse claim and Harold’s exiled brother Tostig. Three men, one throne.

Harold settled the northern account first. At Stamford Bridge on 25 September 1066 he killed Hardrada and Tostig. It was a famous English victory. It was also the wrong battle to win first. Two days later the wind changed. William landed at Pevensey, moved to Hastings, and burned until Harold had to come south with tired housecarls and a militia that had already marched the length of the country.

On 14 October, on Senlac Hill — the ridge now marked by Battle Abbey — Harold held the high ground in a shield wall. William had to attack uphill with infantry, archers, and cavalry. Early assaults failed. A rumour that William was dead ran through his line; he lifted his helmet and showed his face. Feigned retreats then broke the English discipline. Men left the wall to chase, and were cut down below. Gyrth and Leofwine fell. Late in the day Harold fell — an arrow in the tradition of the Bayeux Tapestry, four knights in an early Norman account, perhaps both. Command died with him. William had three horses killed under him and still kept a combined force in hand. That, more than any single shaft, decided England.

Hastings did not hand him the island. The Witan named the boy Edgar the Ætheling. William marched on London, took the city’s submission, and was crowned at Westminster on Christmas Day 1066. The rest was enforcement. Castles. A new aristocracy. A remade church. The Harrying of the North in 1069–70, famine used as policy. In 1086, Domesday: not a book of wonders, a ledger of who owned what and what it owed. English became the language of the yard; French the language of the hall. The split is still in the vocabulary — cow and swine on the farm, beef and pork on the table.

He did not die a hero’s death. By 1087 he was nearly sixty and hugely fat, more often in Normandy than in England. Philip of France mocked him as a man lying-in at Rouen. William burned Mantes for the insult. One account says the pommel of the saddle burst his belly when the horse stumbled in the wreckage. Another says heat and exhaustion simply finished him. He was carried to the priory of Saint-Gervais outside Rouen and spent five weeks dying: gifts to churches, prisoners freed, the succession divided like a farm.

Robert Curthose, the eldest son he had fought and never trusted, received Normandy. William Rufus received England. Henry received money. The two halves of the conquest were at war within a year. Children fought because the father would not, or could not, leave one heir both crowns.

Even the burial was a judgment. Attendants stripped the death chamber and left the king nearly naked on the floor. A country knight named Herluin paid to take the body to Caen, to the abbey William had founded. Fire met the bier. At the grave a man claimed the ground under the church had been stolen from his father. The coffin was too small. They forced the bloated corpse in; Orderic says the bowels burst and incense could not hide it. The clergy hurried the rest and left.

William still lies at Saint-Étienne in Caen, in a tomb later wars smashed. He had won the contest of 1066. He could not command his own funeral, or keep his sons from inheriting his method: take what you can hold, and hold it against your own blood. That is the culture he left, and the dispute.

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