The Pacific Solution: Unbelievable Official Figures Inform Public Policy
The Australian solution to the humanitarian crisis of people smuggling — known as the Pacific Solution — was introduced by John Howard’s government in the early 2000s. The crisis had roots in the Vietnamese migration following the Fall of Saigon and the Whitlam government’s hand-wringing approach.
Official figures often mask the grim reality. Some 1.5 to 2 million Vietnamese fled their homeland by boat. Only around 800,000 arrived at a destination. Bean counters in the media and the UN claim a mortality rate of about 15%. But the obvious reality is that only about 40% survived. The disparity arises because only confirmed deaths are officially counted. Many more boats simply vanished due to unseaworthy vessels, storms, and pirates who preyed on defenceless people. While Australia accepted under 100,000 Vietnamese through refugee camps, only about 2,000 came directly by boat.
The Pacific Solution addressed the less murderous but still dangerous journey from Indonesia to Australia. China-sponsored pirates were not part of the equation this time, but the trip remained perilous. Critics insist the death rate was “only” 2–4%. However, because the total number of departures is unknown, anecdotal reports of missing boats rarely feature in stories that damage Labor. Even 2–4% is far too high.
In Australia, Labor has long enjoyed a reputation for championing migrant rights — yet their policies resulted in drowning people who wanted to come here and exposed them to exploitation by people smugglers charging more than $10,000 per person — a fortune for many who don’t earn that in a lifetime.
Conservatives, by successfully limiting the number of illegal arrivals, have been labelled as wasteful for the resources used to achieve that outcome. A figure of $1 billion has been cited, but this includes routine aviation surveillance and foreign aid spending. One wonders whether spending a billion dollars on Nauru for something trivial like placing condoms in primary school bathrooms would have drawn the same criticism.
What about the far higher human cost of drowning people exploited by people smugglers? Because the arguments against the Pacific Solution failed so badly when it was dismantled, it had to be reimplemented. It was done poorly at first under Gillard, but responsibly under Abbott. While the ALP earned media kudos for “compassion” that in reality exploited desperate people fleeing third-world conditions, it was conservatives who were vilified for prioritising legal migrants and strong borders. Some even complained there were too many legal migrants.
Go back to 2002: Australia faced a crisis as illegal migrants flew to Indonesia and then boarded boats in substantial numbers, many from Iraq. The Tampa affair saw illegal migrants damage their own boat before being rescued by a merchant vessel originally heading to Indonesia. They then overwhelmed the crew and redirected the Tampa toward Australia. The Australian government responded by deploying SAS special forces to redirect the ship. The press claimed this put the illegals at risk. Later, after the Children Overboard affair, the Pacific Solution was born. Australian islands were excised from the migration zone. Asylum seekers were processed offshore and resettled elsewhere. The same press that accepted drowning migrants under Labor protested the offshore processing of illegals. Today, even under an ALP government, the core elements of the Pacific Solution continue.



